R9 SHEUNG HEI HANDICAP

Class 3 - 1200m


Happy Valley (M39) - Wednesday, 20 January 2021

22:50 HK TIME

summary


LOVING A BOOM has been a touch unlucky not to have won a race this season with solid efforts behind the likes of Sky Darci and Grateful Heart, and sort of form is good enough to win this race and probably have him as the horse to beat. However, he has won only one race from 24 starts in Hong Kong and given that, his racing pattern and a short sprint, one couldn’t take a short quote. HERE COMES TED is a model of consistency and considering he drops 7kg in weight, and draws well, he shapes as a great chance to win. His early price is very appealing, and I can see him being right in the fight on the finishing line. BABY was quite solid last time and if he secures a similar run in transit (which looks likely) then he could easily win again. KINDA COOL has gone to another level since the blinkers were applied and having won three of his last five starts, he is hard to knock. He has a tricky draw today and he won’t get things his own way, but as always price is key with this Moreira mount. FALCON TURBO had excuses behind Baby last time and might bounce back from a marginally better draw. Maybe riding five winners on the weekend will give Hamelin the confidence to be positive on Falcon Turbo, which will enhance his chances. There might also be some value around TAKE WHAT YOU NEED from the outside draw. The worry is they are looking for a class drop and he will be left wide, but his recent form is sound and could be very competitive here if they desire. So I’m happy to have a small speck on him at a price.

selections


11 HERE COMES TED

(rp – $7.00)

7th

1 LOVING A BOOM

(rp – $6.00)

2nd @ $1.65p

6 BABY

(rp – $6.50)

5th

3 FALCON TURBO

(rp – $10.00)

6th

12 TAKE WHAT YOU NEED

(rp – $17.00)

9th

strategy


11 HERE COMES TED

WIN (1 unit)

3 FALCON TURBO

WIN (0.75 unit)

12 TAKE WHAT YOU NEED

WIN (0.5 unit)

speed


BEAUTY KOBE and SMOOTHIES might press to the lead and help set a GOOD speed here from FALCON TURBO, KINDA COOL and BABY. IGNITING is drawn to get an ideal run just behind the pace.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)

BEST BETS RECORD FROM SEASON 2017/18 TO 2019/20 :


263

MEETINGS

1876.5

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+270.75

UNITS (14% PROFIT)