R7 SUMMARY / THE BOCHK PRIVATE WEALTH JOCKEY CLUB MILE

SHA TIN (M20) - SUNDAY, 20 NOVEMBER 2022

4:10PM HK TIME

G2 - 1600m Turf

SPEEDMAP

The Jockey Club Mile looks a classic match race between the established best horse in Hong Kong, GOLDEN SIXTY and one of the rising stars, CALIFORNIA SPANGLE. I expect that one of the pair would win this race 95% of the time. Golden Sixty beat California Spangle easily when they met in the Champions Mile, but this race sets up a differently. Firstly, California Spangle gets 5-pounds off Golden Sixty, and should have a distinct fitness edge being third-up. He looks like he’s developed too and can control the race from the lead. Golden Sixty will get back from his draw with Vincent Ho needing to measure his position with the tempo and when to “go”. What will we see when Golden Sixty is released? Probably his brilliance, but as R S said on The Triple Trio, he is older now, so there’s always a slight doubt that a horse will return at their best level at seven-years-old. EXCELLENT PROPOSAL and TURIN REDSUN are the best of the rest and either horse winning would be a major upset. How to play this race? Well, I don’t like going against Golden Sixty, as I’ve been with him from the start, but given his price, it’s the time to speck California Spangle (another one of ours) – either way, it should be a cracking race!

Selections / Hutchi's Picks

1st @ $2.05 & $1.05 ($2.10 BC)

2nd @ $1.01p (quinella with 1 @ $1.30 -> -3 units)

Strategy / Hutchi's Approach

3 CALIFORNIA SPANGLE

WIN (3 units)

Field / vip access to full prices

Number /  Horse (Barrier) Weight (lbs) /  Rated Price (RP)

J: C Y Ho T: K W Lui
He’s Hong Kong’s best horse with a nearly impeccable Group 1 CV. The small field will help Vincent Ho navigate the right run and after getting caught being too patient last prep behind Waikuku, he’ll be awake to making his run at the right time. Has trialed well and is the horse to beat, but how far off his very best will he be as a seven-year-old?

J: S De Sousa T: J Size
Was ridden conservatively when fresh-up and he hit the line okay. Has trialed since in typically conservative fashion. I’m not convinced he’s at his best and therefore isn’t a winning chance, but at least from barrier 1 he’ll be given his chance to finish in the money.

J: Z Purton T: A S Cruz
He’s clearly the biggest danger to Golden Sixty and I think he’s capable of upsetting him, given he’s third-up, rock-hard fit and has a racing pattern that should see him leading and being rated by Purton. He’s shown himself to be a fighter with high quality and he crucially gets 5-pounds off the HK champ.

J: K C Leung T: C S Shum
He’s run well in races like this before, but he’s an enigmatic galloper. His second-up record is good (4:1-1-0), so if he ran into the placings, it wouldn’t be surprising.

J: A Badel T: J Size
He needs a few things to click for him to perform, with the most important thing being a genuine pace for him to relax. Too unreliable to entertain him being a genuine winning chance but is always a candidate to place.

J: L Hewitson T: D J Whyte
Still working into fitness, but maybe he’s looking for ground now? He’s got some upside though and from a handy barrier draw he can run into the placings at his best.

J: L Ferraris T: F C Lor
Shouldn’t be in the race.

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Accordion plugin out of the box hh selections

 

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